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Sensitivity analysis for sampling design and demand calibration in water distribution networks using the singular value decomposition

机译:采用奇异值分解的配水网采样设计和需求校准灵敏度分析

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摘要

Research in water distribution networks during recent decades has often focused on calibration. There is no unique solution for this problem as the methodologies are developed depending on which parameters have to be calibrated and the final use of the model. This work presents a demand calibration methodology that identifies a set of patterns that minimize the error in predicted measurements. The singular value decomposition (SVD) of the sensitivity matrix is a powerful tool for solving the optimization problem. Additionally, in this work, the deep understanding of the SVD allows the selection of an alternative to the classic patterns. Each individual demand is defined as a combination of geographically distributed patterns. The membership of each demand to every pattern is produced naturally through the analysis of the SVD of the sensitivity matrix. Three types of memberships are considered: binary, positive, and free. The SVD analysis is also used to define the location of sensors for the calibration. The performance of the methodology proposed is tested on a real water distribution network using synthetic data. Results show that the use of positive memberships to define individual demands is the best option to reduce the error in predicted pressures and flows.
机译:近几十年来,供水网络的研究通常集中在校准方面。由于必须根据要校准的参数和模型的最终用途来开发方法,因此没有唯一的解决方案。这项工作提出了一种需求校准方法,该方法可以识别出一组可将预测测量误差最小化的模式。灵敏度矩阵的奇异值分解(SVD)是解决优化问题的有力工具。此外,在这项工作中,对SVD的深入了解允许选择经典模式的替代方案。每个单独的需求都定义为地理分布模式的组合。通过对灵敏度矩阵的SVD进行分析,自然可以生成每个需求对每个模式的隶属关系。考虑三种类型的成员资格:二进制成员,肯定成员和免费成员。 SVD分析还用于定义用于校准的传感器的位置。所提出的方法的性能已在使用合成数据的真实水分配网络上进行了测试。结果表明,使用正隶属关系定义个人需求是减少预测压力和流量误差的最佳选择。

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